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Здравствуйте! Скажите, пожалуйста, у моих знакомых возник вопрос, они граждане Армении, но проживают в Республике Беларусь и у них вид на жительство этой республики. От какой...

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[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 2, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
As a general remark: numbers that Britsimon calls "max case number" or numbers at which I cut my plots are not necessarily 100% accurate. When we initially scan the CEAC database we check all the case numbers until we reach a range where there are only holes. As an example, for DV2018 we scanned up to EU42000. Last case with 'At NVC' status is 2018EU39695. It means that every case number in range 39695 < x < 42000 is a hole. However, it does not prove that there aren't any cases above 42000. There were examples of isolated, singular cases in a very high range in past DVs.

@LadyRain I think you asked me a question a couple of posts back ("автора графиков спросить?"), but google translate did a very poor job with your post. Could you try asking it in a different way?
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 2, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
I've just released new data. Make sure you refresh your browser cache.

One question: Is there something going on with Moscow embassy? An entire batch of April interviews was put on Administrative Processing on March 31. AFAICT they're still on AP.
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
ВУВ пишет:
Xarthisius,
For numbers 1-28000 there are 7,656 processed cases.
2015 is not at all similar to 2017, much less similar to 2018.
The principle, rules and approach to the processing of cases were very different.
Unfortunately


That was going to be my point smile:) DV15 is more similar to DV17 in terms of processing than DV17 to DV18. That's the reason I put DV15's data on my website: to show that DV18 is so different from both DV15 and DV17 that it doesn't really make sense to compare DV18 to previous years.

Anyways, I usually try to refrain from commenting on other people's analyses. Occasionally though I see something I can't help to address. Nevertheless, the whole point of getting the data out publicly is for everybody to draw their own conclusions. Your guesses are as good as mine.
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
ВУВ пишет:
Xarthisius,
It does not really matter.
We (participants DV2018) overall performance for 1 year.
I understand that the result is formed at the end of the year, upon completion of the selection process.
Deviations, when considering a specific date from different dates until the end of the year, is not significant.


If you think you made a small and insignificant error, compare number of "processed" cases for set range in DV15 in April and at the end...
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
ВУВ пишет:
Quote Xarthisius writes:
Quote ВУВ пишет:
B DV2017 at 22,000 in April, for 7 months, 8,696 cases were accepted for processing.
Where did you get data for DV17 in April specifically?
This is your data, taken from the schedule on the Internet site.
This is the sum = Issuef (7526) + Ready (463) + Refused (533) + AP (174) - for numbers 1-22000


That's the state for October 2017 then. You cannot derive data for April from that dataset. There are a lot of cases with # < 22000 that were processed in May or later...
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
ВУВ пишет:
B DV2017 at 22,000 in April, for 7 months, 8,696 cases were accepted for processing.


Where did you get data for DV17 in April specifically?
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
Влад Орлов пишет:
Hi Xarthisius.

“ready”(4434) is for what date it is written? For april or may?


That's the total number of cases with status "Ready" in CEAC database on 03/30/2018. It doesn't necessarily correspond to a specific month though, e.g. some cases turn ready in October and stay that way through the whole fiscal year. If you want to see specific number of cases processed each month, there are separate csv files at the bottom of the page. For EU there were / are:

March - 1260 cases (that turned Ready)
April - 934 cases
May - 940 cases
Изменено: Xarthisius - 03.04.2018 19:27:06
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
Влад Орлов пишет:
Do not tell me the statistics for which date? Someone speaks to February and somebody to March:


There's a slider with a date below first graph. It changes both the content of all charts and the table. When you open the page for the first time it's always the "latest". Currently it's 03/30/2018.
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
Armenian_boy пишет:
9776 + 1073 + 1381 + 4434 = 16664 ... 18050-16664 = 1386 ... where did the 1386 questionnaires disappear?

That table shows number of people, 18050 is case number cutoff. There's no explicit relation between those two numbers. Nothing's missing...
[ Закрыто] DV-2018: Скорость движения номеров. Визовые бюллетени. Часть 1, Факты, прогнозы, переживания...
Цитата
xiaoandong пишет:
Comrades very little left to reveal the numbers. It hurts to see the result. Fly on. https://dvcharts.xarthisius.xyz/scraper.html


Thanks for the effort! Y'all are really making difference! @xiaoandong you're like machine, congrats on getting into top10!
We got all 'At NVC' cases, remaining captchas are for Ready/In Transit. I just published the results, along with complete list of 2NLs for May.
Изменено: Xarthisius - 30.03.2018 18:29:58
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